Forecast of Land
Cover Change as a Sustainable Flood Prevention Strategy using Cellular Automata
Model in Lampoko Watershed, South Sulawesi, Indonesia
Nugroho Cahyadi, Umar Ramli and Mithen
Disaster Advances; Vol. 17(3); 16-24;
doi: https://doi.org/10.25303/173da016024; (2024)
Abstract
The Lampoko watershed is the biggest watershed in South Sulawesi's Barru Regency.
Flooding is a common occurrence in this area, particularly tidal flooding. To get
around this, this research uses a geographic information system to estimate land
cover and reveal how an organization will grow in the future. This forecast is meant
to help plan preventive measures in organizational regions where flooding is anticipated.
The CA-Markov model was used to analyze satellite imagery data (Landsat 8 OLI TIRS
Year 2015-2021).
The findings revealed an increasing pattern of land cover change in several land
cover classes that were hubs of communal activity including villages, fisheries
(ponds) and agricultural (rice fields). Balusu, Lampoko and Ajakkang are areas that
need to be prepared for since they are part of regions with a high likelihood of
flooding in the future.
