Disaster Advances


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Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models and Hybrid Ensemble Approach’s for Landslide Prediction

Fayaz Mohsin and Kanti Tushar

Disaster Advances; Vol. 17(11); 26-34; doi: https://doi.org/10.25303/1711da026034; (2024)

Abstract
The NH-44 Jammu Srinagar National Highway in India is susceptible to landslides, rock falls and shooting stones due to its geological characteristics and steep slopes. This study aims to compare the performance of various Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and hybrid models in predicting landslides using historical data. Seven optimized ML approaches Support Vector Classifier (SVC), Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT), K Nearest Classifier (KNC), Random Forest (RF), GaussianNB (GNB) and AdaBoost Classifier (ABC) are used.

Additionally, two Hybrid Ensemble methods, the Voting Hybrid Model (VHM) and Stacking Hybrid Model (SHM), are introduced. The performance of each model is evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score and AUC metrics. Results indicate that all the models performed well, with hybrid ensemble models surpassing all individual algorithms. The Stacking Hybrid Model (SHM) excels achieving 99.4% accuracy and 98.5% AUC, outperforming the Voting Hybrid Model (VHM). Hybrid models consistently outperform individual models in accuracy and AUC. These proposed methods exhibit robustness and enhanced results in addressing this issue. This framework can help to predict the landslides with high accuracy which can save the lives through timely evacuations from high-risk areas.